A top-down analysis of gold from the monthly to the intraday time frames, including a look at the Fibonacci levels and CO2 perspective. The overall outlook is bullish and ripe for a potential long trade. Investors should monitor the market from a 4-hour or lower intraday perspective until it shifts from bearish to bullish.
Gold Market Breakdown: A Complete Top-Down Analysis
Introduction to Gold Market Breakdown
Here on the Transparent FX Academy, we provide the best market breakdowns daily to help you analyze the forex market both technically and fundamentally. In this particular video, we will be discussing gold market breakdown and understanding its price action and structure.
Monthly Time Frame Analysis
Starting with the monthly timeframe, we see a strong impulse to the upside followed by a correction. By taking the Fibonacci from the low to high of the impulse, we can see that the market is currently testing and rejecting the 50% level of the Fibonacci, indicating a bullish market.
Weekly Time Frame Analysis
On the weekly timeframe, we see that there is a strong demand area represented by a red candle which is not related to the move. As the market approaches this demand zone, we expect it to reject it to the upside. Currently, the market is supported by the demand zone below.
Daily Time Frame Analysis
Moving down to the daily timeframe, we can see that there is strong structure created due to the previous resistance becoming support level. By taking Fibonacci from the low to high of the impulse, we can see that the market is testing a confluence of demand zones between the 0.618 golden ratio and 0.786 level of Fibonacci, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
Commitment of Traders (COT) Perspective Analysis
From COT report, we can see that non-commercials and largest speculators have been increasingly creating net positions of gold, which indicates that the market is getting quite bullish.
Trading Strategy for Gold Market Breakdown
As a reactive trader, we will be monitoring the intraday timeframes, especially 4-hour timeframe, and waiting for the market to shift from an intraday bearish market to naturally bullish market. As soon as it does, we will add gold to our watchlist and wait for valid entry points with good risk to reward ratios and high probabilities.
Conclusion
In conclusion, a complete top-down analysis of the gold market breakdown reveals the potential for a bullish reversal. As a trader, it is always important to conduct regular market breakdowns and analysis to make informed trading decisions.